Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 514.284615 546.780903 580.541249 618.292406 659.399083 702.880968 752.454878
2026-01-11 472.012051 516.778983 565.155442 621.527999 685.678717 756.720318 841.774431
2026-01-18 441.601011 493.793308 551.828514 621.548429 703.565703 797.647335 914.692186
2026-01-25 421.307662 479.292933 545.302942 626.644670 725.060457 841.422995 991.133708
2026-02-01 405.268727 467.905069 540.668406 632.341190 746.042726 884.172014 1067.402506
2026-02-08 392.284816 458.890219 537.674951 638.937182 767.406118 927.430288 1145.870014
2026-02-15 378.281606 447.585357 530.866736 639.812326 780.844053 960.524598 1212.296445
2026-02-22 365.661446 437.149757 524.300145 640.166905 792.986012 991.838800 1277.468889
2026-03-01 355.564858 429.237737 520.279921 643.201063 808.259978 1027.485148 1350.137384
2026-03-08 344.578081 419.607975 513.463405 641.959030 817.345132 1054.712636 1412.059537
2026-03-15 335.336584 411.749901 508.454674 642.635584 828.703855 1085.205164 1480.087187
2026-03-22 326.411670 403.885519 503.001135 642.264106 838.288038 1113.290347 1545.862278
2026-03-29 318.083805 396.495802 497.863561 642.031992 847.939258 1141.824293 1614.080332
2026-04-05 311.722501 391.435865 495.566700 645.486334 862.791556 1178.447079 1696.993695
2026-04-12 304.533882 384.974600 491.059451 645.513196 872.460135 1207.556806 1769.561560
2026-04-19 299.691808 381.481236 490.413032 650.874794 890.042206 1249.342506 1865.421665
2026-04-26 295.357098 378.495730 490.292295 656.868246 908.670208 1293.507588 1968.200740
2026-05-03 291.584124 376.124147 490.881147 663.809157 928.896067 1341.068805 2080.120891
2026-05-10 286.064659 371.126072 487.546198 664.730157 939.723527 1373.907311 2168.350921
2026-05-17 280.660075 366.109886 483.986023 665.103322 949.579964 1405.483535 2256.412058
2026-05-24 276.392462 362.557211 482.379594 668.296664 963.935951 1445.129095 2362.189864
2026-05-31 270.979852 357.207989 477.974094 666.989437 970.882479 1472.446983 2446.590420
2026-06-07 266.409299 352.930185 474.981446 667.701497 981.055274 1505.694823 2544.859838